Valuations Need a Correction
Startup valuations miss the forest for a few successful trees

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Long-form essays on technology, venture capital, and the economics that bind them together.
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Count: 80 essays
Latest: Oct 13, 2026
Focus: Investors, Founders, Developers

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Startup valuations miss the forest for a few successful trees
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Startup valuations miss the forest for a few successful trees

Like actions per minute in strategy games, token usage is a vanity metric.

The total stock of seed-stage startups appears to be shrinking, despite the AI funding boom.

An emerging theme among teams building agents: the file system is the ideal memory abstraction for AI agents.

Why we tripled down on Exa, the search engine built for AI agents.

The codebase is a software company's crown jewel — what changes when AI becomes the engine that builds it.

Open source LLMs are 90% cheaper than closed source models, yet they capture less than 30% of token share

On the uncanny valley of AI avatars, and our investment in Nuance Labs to build AI's missing emotional layer.

AI agents are only as good as the context they retrieve — why we're doubling down on Exa.

The rising tide of AI-driven cyberattacks demands a new era of smarter, autonomous defense.

For 25 years search meant ten blue links; now it's becoming infrastructure for AI — and that shift creates new opportuni...

A close read of Apple's controversial paper claiming to expose reasoning weaknesses in models like Claude and ChatGPT.

Long-form essays on the economics of tech, with the data to back it up. All signal, no noise.
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